The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy Audiobook (Free)

Bayes’ rule appears to be an easy, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new info, we get yourself a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it really is an elegant statement about learning from encounter. To its opponents, it is subjectivity operate amok.In the first-ever account of Bayes’ rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its finding by an amateur mathematician about The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes’ Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Hundreds of years of Controversy in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern type by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it appropriately taboo for one hundred and fifty years-at once that professionals relied on it to resolve crises including great uncertainty and scanty information, actually breaking Germany’s Enigma code during Globe War II, and points out how the introduction of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes’ guideline is used everywhere from DNA decoding to Homeland Security.Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory THAT COULD Not Die is the riveting accounts of what sort of seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time.